Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will any AI solve >=50 IMO problems by the start of 2024?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2023?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
Will a business run by AI make more than 1 million USD in profit before 2025?
Short Term AI 2.5: By January 2024, will there be a usable, general AI assistant?
By 2025, will Google be in a winning position in the "AI war" against Microsoft?
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
Will AI spread through malware before 2025?
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2023?
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?