Will the AfD Be the Most Voted Party in Germany in the 2024 European Parliament Elections?
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390
Jun 8
3%
chance

Resolves YES if the AfD gets the most votes in the 2024 European Parliament elections in Germany. Resolves NO if any other party surpasses the AfD vote share.

Outcome will be determined by official election results, published on a site such as bundeswahlleiterin.de

Results from 2019:
https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/europawahlen/2019/ergebnisse/bund-99.html
Poll from 31.07.2023:
https://www.europawahl-bw.de/wahlprognosen-europawahl#c88228

Trading closes one day before the current planned date of the vote.

For the purposes of this question CDU/CSU are counted as one Party, i.e. the Union

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To clarify: Do we count the Union together or separate? In most polls, CDU and CSU are grouped together. But they are separate partys.

@PhantomLordMXVI I would count CDU/CSU as one party, added to description

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