What will be the next city to be nuked | Manifold

What will be the next city to be nuked

17

525Ṁ1444

2100

78%

Other

4%

Seoul

4%

Delhi

2%

Islamabad

2%

Abilene (Texas)

2%

Resolves no

1.3%

Kyiv

1.2%

London

what will be the next city to be nuked. I won’t count accidents but if someone goes rogue and launches a nuke on purpose then I will count that.

A city for this market will be a human settlement of over 100,000 people defined by city limits or the equivalent if I can’t find the city limits. If the timing of nukes is so close that I can’t tell which one was first then the city with the most deaths will resolve yes and everything else will resolve no.

I will only count the nuke if 1,000 or more people die, the people who died didn’t have to be in the city but the nuke has to have caused it.

I will add a few cities but feel free to add whatever cities you want

Market close will be extended as needed

I will not bet in this market in case of controversy

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Sorry about this but I intended to extend the closing date if needed I will refund those who bet on this option and I will update the description.

@JamesFair TBF I'd give a non-negligible chance that no city on Earth will be nuked not just before 2100 but before the heat death of the universe

Deleted

@ArmandodiMatteo In the event of the heat death of the universe or other events similar this will resolve N/A. (Sorry about the alt btw)

Add London, please.

People are also trading

What will be the next city to be nuked? (add your picks)

Will any city get nuked before 2040?

If the US is nuked by 2050, which city will be nuked first?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

Will any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?

What will be the next country to come into possession of their own nuclear weapon?

Which will be the first City to be destroyed by the impact of climate change?

Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

When will the next attack by a nuclear weapon take place?

Related questions

What will be the next city to be nuked? (add your picks)

Will any city get nuked before 2040?

If the US is nuked by 2050, which city will be nuked first?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

Will any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?

What will be the next country to come into possession of their own nuclear weapon?

Which will be the first City to be destroyed by the impact of climate change?

Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

When will the next attack by a nuclear weapon take place?

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