Will any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?
7
33
220
2035
12%
chance

Only counts a bomb hitting a city that people live in, like happened in WW2. Does not count a bomb targeting an abandoned city, or one that's only occupied by military forces as part of some war. Does not count an EMP hitting a city; must be a physical blast that does significant damage.

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