Will Republicans chances to win the senate go above 30% again?

Question

Resolves YES, if the following market trades at 30% or more before it resolves. But after market creation

(https://manifold.markets/embed/AndrewG/will-republicans-win-the-senate-in-738388924521)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 47% chance (3 traders, as of Nov 2, 2026).

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