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MANIFOLD
Will Republicans chances to win the senate go above 50% again?
7
Ṁ1kṀ311
Dec 1
35%
chance

Resolves YES, if the following market trades at 50% or more before it resolves.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

what's your credence on this one @Jack1

bought Ṁ100 NO

@bobalobascrob could happen, Dems will win the senate, but idk what traders will do. Some of the early results will probably look Republican but it will be a mirage

@Jack1 smart; kinda like the lula election where the final voting populations were all in lula's favor heavily