I’m interested in what people think but don’t want a market that takes forever to resolve!
I will resolve based on what I think based on the best evidence that is posted in the comments
Could resolve to percentage
I can’t bet on this market.
Doesn’t Smoke, Moderate Exercise
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Historically infant mortality has accounted for pushing average lifespans now but that's less of an issue now.
How many New Zealanders were born in the year 2000? How many of them have died already?
The more NZers of that cohort die, the longer the rest of them need to live OVER the age of 150 for the AVERAGE to reach 150.
@JoeandSeth I have never heard of slow takeoff before. Currently asking Gemini about it. I am not knowledgeable about this sort of stuff. I don’t have an opinion on fast or slow takeoff right now, as I’ve just learn it exists as a debate