Who will win the Next 2 USA elections?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option corresponding to the winners of the 2028 and 2032 United States presidential elections, respectively.

Democrats 2028 -> Democrats 2032: The Democratic Party candidate wins the 2028 election and the Democratic Party candidate wins the 2032 election.

Democrats 2028 -> Republicans 2032: The Democratic Party candidate wins the 2028 election and the Republican Party candidate wins the 2032 election.

Republicans 2028 -> Democrats 2032: The Republican Party candidate wins the 2028 election and the Democratic Party candidate wins the 2032 election.

Republicans 2028 -> Republicans 2032: The Republican Party candidate wins the 2028 election and the Republican Party candidate wins the 2032 election.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Democrats 2028 -> Republicans 2032, followed by Republicans 2028 -> Republicans 2032 and Democrats 2028 -> Democrats 2032 are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Apr 21, 2026).

Resolution criteria

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