California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets
13
Ṁ409Ṁ1.6kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
57%
Appears on ballot in California in 2026
26%
Does not appear on ballot due to lawsuit
13%
Appears on ballot in Ca2026 and Gavin Newsom endorses voting yes on it
9%
Does not appear on ballot due to insufficient signatures
Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.
Must be a one time tax, and target individuals, families, households or family units with net worth or assets over 1b.
Endorses is a public endorsement. Rumours of what he votes for or says he wants behind closed doors is not enough for resolution. Resolves to his first endorsement of a side. If he endorsed yes or no, would immediately resolve. If he says he’s undecided or not commenting on it, will wait until when he/if he announces a decision.
I reserve right to n/a or adjust bad answers if you add them
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
35% chance
SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot
56% chance
2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets
Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?
Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?
49% chance
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
37% chance
Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
12% chance