Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
27
Ṁ1kṀ14kDec 31
46%
chance
1H
6H
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1W
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ALL
Resolves Yes if it passes, Resolves no if it is on the ballot and fails, and resolves n/a if it doesn’t appear on the ballot.
I will use Kalshi to decide if it is on the ballot.
I can resolve n/a early before the end of the year if it is impossible to appear on the ballot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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