Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030? | Manifold

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

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2030

13%

chance

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1W

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Likely requiring a certain threshold, such as "above 95%".

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This is an interesting question, but I'm not sure how prediction markets would be used as sources. Could you please give an example of something that might be on Wikipedia if that was the case?

predicts NO

"Prediction markets indicate that the origin of Covid-19 was likely from an accidental laboratory release."

@IsaacKing oh, I see, thank you.

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