Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030? | Manifold

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Plus

15

Ṁ472

2030

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Likely requiring a certain threshold, such as "above 95%".

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

#Long-term Markets

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

This is an interesting question, but I'm not sure how prediction markets would be used as sources. Could you please give an example of something that might be on Wikipedia if that was the case?

predictedNO

"Prediction markets indicate that the origin of Covid-19 was likely from an accidental laboratory release."

@IsaacKing oh, I see, thank you.

Related questions

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

Related questions

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules