
Will Wikipedia show third-party ads before 2030?
8
Ṁ1kṀ3k2030
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Wikipedia does not currently monetize its articles by displaying advertisements for other companies.
Resolves YES when a guest visitor without Adblock can see (in a repeatable way) official third-party ads in or around articles on English Wikipedia.
Resolves NO on Jan 1, 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Wikipedia be up at wikipedia.org in 2030?
92% chance
Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?
49% chance
Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
67% chance
Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028?
16% chance
Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
22% chance
Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?
19% chance
How many Books will be considered "The Best" by Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?
Will there be ads with your face on them before 2028?
36% chance
At the end of 2030 will Manifold users think Wikipedia has changed for the better compared to 2020?
56% chance
Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA?
22% chance