Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

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Resolves if by 2030 there exists a death market that is so efficient, that if you were to put someone's name in it, it will tell you the correct day they would die +-30 days, 95% of the time.

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is the 95% the accuracy? as in: if the person does die that month, then it's a yes, and if they don’t die that month, it’s a no, and the Yes must be 95% of all predictions?

Also, how far in advance are we talking? currently most death markets probably resolve with 99% accuracy, because someone hears reports of someone’s death, and they bet a lot before the market is resolved. But that’s not really “predicting” anything.

@Nat @Santiago, Resolves if by 2030 there exists a death prediction model that is so efficient, that if you were to put someone's name/details in it, it will tell you the correct day they would die +-30 days, 95% of the time.