Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
huot3000 avatar
phil
6
closed May 13
86%
chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040? Exist means live web app with at least 1 active user.
Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

By manifest 2024 there will be a new product vertical for prediction markets/forecasting. [Manifold Poll]
NathanpmYoung avatarNathan Young
35% chance
Will there be at least 5 "markets" on Manifold advertising escorts or call girls in September?
bohaska avatarBohaska
66% chance
The first piece about Manifold Markets in New York Times will be positive
MartinRandall avatarMartin Randall
47% chance
Will Manifold ban or restrict whalebait markets by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
39% chance
If Manifold runs a hiring-decision market in the next ~year, will they think it's worth doing multiple more times?
OptimizationProcess avatarOptimization Process
40% chance
Will Joe Biden use Manifold Markets before 2024?
NathanpmYoung avatarNathan Young
1% chance
Will Manifold Markets be in the top 25 Google Search results for “Manifold" at the end of 2023?
JoshuaB avatarJoshua
84% chance
Will Manifold Markets be mentioned by name in a mainstream news article before EOY 2023?
ianminds avatarianminds
83% chance
Will Manifold have a convenient way to create a bunch of markets about “basically the same topic” by the end of 2023?
JoshuaB avatarJoshua
62% chance
Will Manifold have a more refined way to filter through markets by 2024?
cc6 avatarcc6
46% chance
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
itsTomekK avatarTomek K 🟡
58% chance
Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year?
egroj avatarJAAM
58% chance
Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023?
Luigisopa avatarLuigisopa
25% chance
Will Manifold take a market down in 2023?
saulmunn avatarSaul Munn
40% chance
Will Manifold's policy about NSFW markets differ from NightCafe one?
AnT avatarAn Ting
80% chance
Will I be able to create matrix markets on Manifold by end of 2023?
CarsonGale avatarCarson Gale
42% chance
Will The Economist publish an article about Manifold Market or any other prediction market before 2024?
Stan avatarStan
39% chance
Will Mr. Beat post a prediction market on Manifold in 2023?
LarsDoucet avatarLars Doucet
46% chance
Will Manifold figure out a satisfactory self-resolving market mechanism by the end of 2023? [Resolves to the most satisfactory such mechanism]
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
50% chance
Will a billionaire make a Manifold market by the end of 2023
levifinkelstein avatarLevi Finkelstein [BANNED]
36% chance
3 Comments
6 Positions
6 Trades
Sort by:
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall

@huot3000 extend close date?

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall

@phil

Manifold avatar
Manifoldbought Ṁ60 of YES
LETS GOOO