Will the crew of the Integrity spacecraft survive the trip? | Manifold

Will the crew of the Integrity spacecraft survive the trip?

19

Ṁ1kṀ4.5k

2027

91%

chance

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6H

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1M

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https://x.com/CJHandmer/status/1973210370560106739

And see the "heat shield" section here: https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2025/10/31/nasas-orion-space-capsule-is-flaming-garbage/

Market context

Commercial spaceflight

Space exploration

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bought Ṁ1 NO

It not launching could count as N/A.

I am thinking of betting NO, just to ward it off. Maybe tuesday or wednesday.

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