
Will Artemis 4 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
10
Ṁ110Ṁ6782030
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market closes when Artemis 4 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.
Related markets:
/jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with
/jks/will-artemis-3-return-to-earth-with
/jks/will-artemis-4-return-to-earth-with (this question)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028?
29% chance
Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
96% chance
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance
Will Artemis 6 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance
Artemis 4 Launch Year
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1% chance
Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
2% chance
On which flight will the first member of the Artemis 2 crew return to the Moon?
Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
79% chance
When will the Artemis 3 crew be announced?
10/18/26