Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
54
1kṀ41912035
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a quarter of Americans morally accept polygamy in 2025, according to Gallup?
10% chance
Will there be legally recognized three-party civil unions/marriages in the US by 2100?
61% chance
Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US state by 2030?
1% chance
Will Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?
11% chance
Will a US state implement "lightweight marriage" by 2030?
10% chance
Will same-sex marriage be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?
3% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in the Americas before 2030?
92% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?
60% chance
Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
32% chance
Will the LDS Church permit gay marriage by 2030?
6% chance