Will Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?
10
77
210
2029
25%
chance

If five states have legally recognized (legislation complete) polyamorous marriages, or specifically marriages or civil unions involving three or more parties by midnight 12/31/2028, this question will resolve as "YES."

Otherwise will resolve as "NO."

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@NunyaBidness you're the only other trader in this market so far and the title just changed. Going to give you a few minutes if you want to adjust before I bet.

@robm Thank you for this.

How would you resolve on "civil unions" or some other legal recognition that's not called marriage?

@robm Good question. Let’s include civil unions in the “Yes” column.

@robm It’s now reworded thanks for the good question

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