Will Manifold change their algorithm to surface older markets by the end of April? | Manifold

Will Manifold change their algorithm to surface older markets by the end of April?

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resolved Mar 16

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Right now, people tend to only see new markets. Very popular ones can stay active for many months, but all others get buried and forgotten, often resulting in inaccurate prices. Will this change?

For a less subjective operationalization of this, see /IsaacKing/by-the-end-of-2024-will-any-of-my-o

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@IsaacKing was there an actual change in March that I did not notice ?

predicted YES

@Odoacre They added recommended markets to the sidebar, and changed the algorithm for those to make them more relevant.

@IsaacKing Thanks, was hoping for something more specific, but @Gabrielle 's group works for what I need

How do you surface old markets ?

predicted YES

@Odoacre One method is to use the new Ancient Markets group, which I'm populating with a bot. That's debatably not a change to their algorithm though.

https://manifold.markets/group/ancient-markets

Wait, will this close on May 1, 2023, but not resolve until 2025?

@JimHays No, it'll resolve shortly after it closes. (Or earlier, if Manifold implements such a thing before that date.)

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Will manifold introduce a mechanism for retroactive market closure in 2024?

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Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024?

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

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