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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold reduce slop markets before 2027?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ25
Dec 31
28%
chance

Anything to counter general spam

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2027 (by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC), Manifold Markets officially implements at least one systemic platform-level or policy-level change aimed at reducing "slop" markets or countering general spam. To qualify, the change must satisfy at least one of the following criteria:

  • Official Policy Restrictions: Manifold updates its Community Guidelines or Terms of Service to explicitly restrict or ban low-effort markets intended primarily to farm bonuses (such as self-referential "Will this market reach X traders?" questions).

  • Systemic Bonus Changes: A platform-wide adjustment that systematically disables, heavily reduces, or removes unique trader bonuses for low-effort, non-predictive, or spam markets.

  • Feed Filters & Moderation Features: The deployment of an official user-facing filter, AI-detection system, or feed setting designed to systematically hide, unlist, or deprioritize "slop" or spam markets from the main public directories by default.

This market will resolve to NO if no such platform-wide policy update or feature targeting the reduction of spam/slop markets is officially implemented by the cutoff date.

Resolution will be determined based on official announcements on the Manifold Discord, Manifold Community Guidelines, or official platform update logs.

Background

On Manifold Markets, the "unique trader bonus" (which rewards creators with Mana for unique participants on their markets) has incentivized some users to mass-produce low-effort, self-referential, or AI-generated markets. Often dubbed "slop" or "bonus-farming" by the community, this high volume of low-quality markets has sparked persistent discussions regarding feed quality and the need for stronger spam countermeasures.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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Another market whining about "slop," with a slop description. AI addicts are funny, in a sad way

@ChurlishGambit it's a British thing, you wouldn't get it

@AlexStaniforth You're talking about "countering general spam," but you yourself essentially put out spam—not only is there a market almost exactly like this from earlier in the week, you put LLM spam as the description.

... 1 and 3 already exist, and 2 would be terrible

seriously just block the tags

@Stralor What tags specifically are you referring to? From what I've seen these low effort "X traders" markets dont seem to be tagged consistently. The tag I see mostly is "Meta-markets" but that also blocks some legitimately interesting/fun markets that are much higher effort. Am I missing something?

@Zeolite self-resolving and whale watching catch a lot

Would a restriction that [Edit: would have] prevented the creation of this market explicitly count for a YES resolution?