Anything to counter general spam

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2027 (by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC), Manifold Markets officially implements at least one systemic platform-level or policy-level change aimed at reducing "slop" markets or countering general spam. To qualify, the change must satisfy at least one of the following criteria:

• Official Policy Restrictions: Manifold updates its Community Guidelines or Terms of Service to explicitly restrict or ban low-effort markets intended primarily to farm bonuses (such as self-referential "Will this market reach X traders?" questions).

• Systemic Bonus Changes: A platform-wide adjustment that systematically disables, heavily reduces, or removes unique trader bonuses for low-effort, non-predictive, or spam markets.

• Feed Filters & Moderation Features: The deployment of an official user-facing filter, AI-detection system, or feed setting designed to systematically hide, unlist, or deprioritize "slop" or spam markets from the main public directories by default.

This market will resolve to NO if no such platform-wide policy update or feature targeting the reduction of spam/slop markets is officially implemented by the cutoff date.

Resolution will be determined based on official announcements on the Manifold Discord, Manifold Community Guidelines, or official platform update logs.

Background

On Manifold Markets, the "unique trader bonus" (which rewards creators with Mana for unique participants on their markets) has incentivized some users to mass-produce low-effort, self-referential, or AI-generated markets. Often dubbed "slop" or "bonus-farming" by the community, this high volume of low-quality markets has sparked persistent discussions regarding feed quality and the need for stronger spam countermeasures.

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