Will Eliezer Yudkowsky's $150,000 UFO bet market spend at least a week below 90% by the end of 2024?
33
647
Ṁ21KṀ610
2025
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://manifold.markets/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
Any 7 day period where it does not get to 90% or above (as displayed in the UI) counts.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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@ChrisPrichard I actually think this will still resolve no. No holders will want to sell their shares too.
@ChrisPrichard What are the changes to the loan system (or to anythhing else)? There doesn't seem to be a good centralised source of information :(
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