If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?
50
1.4kṀ5935
2100
14%
EY's mind changes such that a boring explanation is worldview-shattering
11%
EY suffers severe mental degeneration leading to delusions
8%
Aliens
7%
Idealism (Consciousness underpins physical reality)
7%
Demons (as in a traditional Abrahamic religion)
7%
Simulation Hypothesis
7%
UFOs are psychic manifestations
7%
UFOs are angels
7%
UFOs are time travelers
7%
Holographic Principle
6%
Eliezer knows aliens are real and will be disclosed soon. He's rallying people to dump money into a bet he is secretly betting against to teach them about the fallacy of appeal to authority.
5%
Other
3%
UFOs are a product of a massive conspiracy unrelated to non-human entities
3%
Ultraterrestrials (home-grown, advanced non-human civs, hidden from us)

This market is intended to aggregate the most likely reasons why UFO's have word-view shattering origins (for Eliezer Yudkowsky), and reward those who thought of them first. In most worlds, I expect this market to resolve "N/A", but who doesn't like the idea of finding the best conspiracy theory.

I will resolve it to the answer that closest/most specificly details why, so long as it was posted prior to the "worldview shattering event" becoming public knowledge. If my resolution appears to controversial, I am quite happy to let a group of trustworthy-ish users/admins re-resolve it.

This question resolves N/A if Eliezer wins this bet:

Kudos to @Joshua's market for bringing this bet to my attention.

Feel free to ask questions in the comments - if they are insightful or they help me clean up this market, I'll pay cold, hard Ṁ.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy