Background

Eliezer Yudkowsky, a prominent AI researcher and rationalist, has made public bets regarding UFOs, expressing skepticism about their extraterrestrial origin. His current stance on UFOs is rooted in skepticism of the extraterrestrial hypothesis, arguing that any advanced civilization capable of interstellar travel would likely be superintelligent and would have already had a visible impact on Earth.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if, within one year after losing his UFO bet, Eliezer Yudkowsky makes public statements (via blog posts, social media, interviews, or other public forums) explicitly connecting or attributing the UFO phenomenon to artificial intelligence or AI-related technology.

The market will resolve NO if:

• Yudkowsky does not make such associations within the one-year timeframe

• Yudkowsky wins his UFO bet (in which case the market resolves with 50% probability)

• Yudkowsky makes statements about UFOs without connecting them to AI

For resolution purposes, the association must be clear and direct - merely mentioning both topics in the same discussion without drawing a connection between them would not qualify.