When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?

Question

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500)When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2028, followed by 2027 and 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Oct 27, 2025).

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