When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?
9
100Ṁ517
2028
10%
2025
19%
2026
31%
2027
36%
2028
4%
Never/later
When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
1,000 to start trading!