When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?
8
100Ṁ497
2028
11%
2025
15%
2026
25%
2027
45%
2028
3%
Never/later
When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
1,000 to start trading!