Will any terrorist group detonate a nuclear weapon before 2035? | Manifold

Will any terrorist group detonate a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Basic

9

Ṁ277

2035

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Must be an actual nuclear detonation, not just a dirty bomb. It's ok if the terrorists are suspected to be backed by a government.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Hold on, trying to think of a reason the Saudis would nuke one of their primary investments

Whose definition? https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations/ ?

Foreign Terrorist Organizations - United States Department of State

Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) are foreign organizations that are designated by the Secretary of State in accordance with section 219 of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), as amended. FTO designations play a critical role in our fight against terrorism and are an effective means of curtailing support for terrorist activities and pressuring groups to […]

@jfjurchen If it's not a government, scientific experiment, or civil excavation project, it's probably a terrorist.

Related questions

Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will there be a confirmed theft of an operational nuclear bomb before 2035?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035

Will nuclear weapons be used before 2025?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Related questions

Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035

Will there be a confirmed theft of an operational nuclear bomb before 2035?

Will nuclear weapons be used before 2025?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules