Will any long-term market have at least 500 traders by the end of 2023?
21
closes 2024
93%
chance

A "long-term market" here will mean any market that, per its stated resolution criteria, has a decent chance of not resolving until after the beginning of 2030.

(Not including markets that will never resolve, like the Destiny "permanent" markets.)

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IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 74%
IsaacKing avatar
Isaacbought Ṁ45 of NO
Yev avatar
Yev

Do you mean after start of 2030 or after end of 2030?

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac

@Yev The beginning of 2030.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will any long-term market have at least 500 traders by the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac

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