Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
Basic
56
αΉ3.1k2025
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The NYT bestseller page ( https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/ ) lists the top five sellers in 11 different categories. Will this page list one book making a serious claim to be written by an AI before the end of 2025?
Get αΉ600 play money
Sort by:
I'm betting "YES" because I think it's likely a book will be "making a serious claim to be written by an AI" even if the book was not in fact written by, for example, prompting an LLM exactly once. It might be something like writing code with copilot but only writing comments with no actual code, and claiming the program was "written by an AI"
Related questions
Related questions
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2030?
66% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
33% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
48% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
39% chance
[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
46% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
84% chance
Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2025?
23% chance
Will a major publishing house release a collection of poetry fully written by an AI by 2025?
64% chance