Will AI be superhuman at MTG rules by the end of 2030?
12
1kṀ11132031
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if AI is consistently better than me and any other human across all rules-related tasks. It does not need to be perfect, nor does it need to be better than a collective of humans who can error-correct for each other. Any type of AI system qualifies.
(This does not take speed into account; I can't even read a question in 1 second, so just because an AI can do so and guess an answer doesn't mean it's better. The humans get to take a human-reasonable amount of time to answer.)
For an easier version of this question, see /IsaacKing/will-ai-be-able-to-accurately-answe
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI reach human-level performance in Magic: The Gathering before 2026?
14% chance
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2026?
11% chance
Will AI be passable at answering Magic: The Gathering rules questions before 2030?
88% chance
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
30% chance
Will an AI be able to play 3-person Monopoly Deal or an equivalent card game at a superhuman level by the end of 2025?
75% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will superintelligent AI take over humanity by 2030?
25% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will MTG Arena become the canonical source of rules functionality by the end of 2026?
13% chance
IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
33% chance