Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will any AI solve >=50 IMO problems by the start of 2024?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in any OECD country in 2023?
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in the USA in 2023?
Short Term AI 2.5: By January 2024, will there be a usable, general AI assistant?
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
Will AI spread through malware before 2025?
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2023?
Will there be another widely reported sentient AI by the end of CY2023?