Will AI be able to write a mystery novel which half of readers can solve and half can’t before April 2024?
11
250Ṁ1417resolved Apr 16
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/HiFromMichaelV/status/1635634017138622468
Must be written entirely by the AI. Counts if the number of readers who can solve it is anywhere from 40% to 60%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ62 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ8 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
43% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
67% chance
Will an AI write anything that interests me enough to want to keep reading it by June 2025?
11% chance
Will AI solve a famous unsolved crime before April of 2028?
35% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
41% chance
Will an AI System Solve One of the Remaining Millennium Prize Problems by June 2025?
1% chance
By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)
96% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
65% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
59% chance