Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
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100Ṁ2122027
74%
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Resolves yes if I judge an AI model to exceed gpt-4o in creative writing by a similar magnitude as o1 exceeds gpt-4o in advanced mathematics.
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From personal experience using AI tools in creative writing, I believe an “o1 moment” (true human-level originality) might happen sooner than we think, possibly even by 2027. Already, tools I’ve used have shifted from predictable to impressively nuanced. Sure, there's debate about authenticity, and sometimes AI-generated content lacks emotional depth, I actually read some interesting feedback here https://www.pissedconsumer.com/resumegenius/RT-F.html highlighting user frustrations with automated writing. However, with rapid tech evolution, I wouldn't underestimate future breakthroughs.
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