[AI 2040] which path will the future most resemble?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k2040
10%
Plan A: Verified Slowdown
13%
Plan B: Fight China
13%
Plan C: Burn the Lead
41%
Plan D: Race to ASI
7%
Plan S: Shut it All Down
15%
[Wrong ontology] (plan looks like none of these, AI hits ceiling, America ceases to exist, etc)
Resolves based on poll once it's clear where we're going (in perhaps 2032?)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
In July 2027, which AI 2040 plan will I think we're on the path towards?
Which AI 2027 ending will the next three years look more like?
Which AI future will we get?
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?
20% chance
Will the future be better? [Pick your choices]
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
What animal will we be to AI by 2045?
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
59% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
45% chance