Will the future be better? [Pick your choices]
28
166
1.2K
2029
97%
Less infants will die
93%
People will live longer
92%
We will be richer
74%
Less people will die in wars
40%
CO2 pollution will slow down

This market aims to bet on objective measures for a "better world"

You are invited to bet on the options above according to what will be true GLOBALLY in 2028.

See below the objective measures:

  1. Life expectancy: 73.16 years

  2. Infant mortality: 26.053 deaths per 1,000 live births

  3. GDP per capita (this will be measured adjusted for inflation): $13,920

  4. CO2 emissions: 37.4 Gt

  5. Number of deaths from conflicts: 238,000

In order to make the market more accurate, and particularly if someone recommends this in the comments, I may:

  • Slightly change the names of the options to make them reflect the sources better

  • Change the sources in case the contents or figures turn out to be wrong or misleading (it shouldn't happen, but you are encouraged to check them 😁)

  • Resolve N/A the options that other users added if they don't meet the criteria below

You are encouraged to add your own options, as long as they follow the following criteria:

  • They have to include a source with a measurable figure (for example, you cannot say "we will be happier" unless you define a way to measure global happiness)

  • The source has refer to global figures (for example, you cannot say "there will be less suicides" and cite the number of suicides in the USA)

  • The figure cited has to be from 2023

  • You can add the option directly and post the source in the comments so I can add it to the description

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

Is your measure of "less polluted" CO2 emissions? that seems like both a limited (there are other kinds of pollution; no CO2 but a bunch of mercury in the water would not be good!) and a strange (if everyone died and all the factories went silent because CO2 choked us all, emissions would go to ~0) metric, to me.

Yeah, I suggest renaming it to "World will be polluted less quickly" or "World pollution will slow down".

@Shemetz renamed to "CO2 pollution will slow down"

Ser Davos Jon Snow GIF by BuzzFeed

@mattyb Beat me to it lol.