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MANIFOLD
Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
18
Ṁ1kṀ3.5k
Dec 31
61%
If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico
52%
If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

If the nominees stated in an answer are not the final nominees, the answer N/As

An answer resolves YES if the listed nominees are accurate and the Republican (Cornyn or Paxton) wins the election. It resolves NO if the listed nominees are accurate and the Democrat (Talarico or Crockett) wins the election.

inb4 people end up trading on who they expect to be nominated

Market context
Trump's Second Term
US Senate
U.S. Congress
2026 Midterms
Texas
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Can na cornyn

bought Ṁ30 NO

trying a new market format since this senate race seems heavily dependent on who each party nominates. Three of the four answers will N/A after the primaries are done.

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