Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?
6
Ṁ225Ṁ453
Nov 3
83%
Darline Graham Nordone
80%
Ralph Norman
79%
Mark Lynch
79%
Henry McMaster
79%
Paul Dans
79%
Russell Fry
76%
Nikki Haley
62%
Pamela Evette
50%
Rom Reddy

Lindsey Graham, the Republican incumbent, was the nominee, but died on July 11, 2026. As such, there will be a special primary held on August 11th to decide the nominee.

Per South Carolina law, a special primary will be held on August 11 to replace Graham on the ballot. South Carolina governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim replacement to hold office until the seat is filled in this election.

This market will resolve N/A for any candidate who isn't the Republican nominee at the time of the midterm election, YES if that candidate wins, and NO if they lose.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!