If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?
6
Ṁ225Ṁ542Nov 3
87%
Darline Graham Nordone
85%
Russell Fry
83%
Ralph Norman
76%
Nikki Haley
76%
Henry McMaster
72%
Paul Dans
69%
Mark Lynch
62%
Pamela Evette
50%
Rom Reddy
Lindsey Graham, the Republican incumbent, was the nominee, but died on July 11, 2026. As such, there will be a special primary held on August 11th to decide the nominee.
Per South Carolina law, a special primary will be held on August 11 to replace Graham on the ballot. South Carolina governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim replacement to hold office until the seat is filled in this election.
This market will resolve N/A for any candidate who isn't the Republican nominee at the time of the midterm election, YES if that candidate wins, and NO if they lose.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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