Will there be more than 400.000 new homes be built in Germany in 2024?
Will there be more than 400.000 new homes be built in Germany in 2024?
8
190Ṁ1145resolved Mar 1
Resolved
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Market will resolve to YES if according to the the Destatis statistic of completed homes ("Wohnungen insgesamt", https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Branchen-Unternehmen/Bauen/Tabellen/baufertigstellungen.html) there were more than 400.000 new homes built. In 2021 there were 293.393 new homes built.
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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