How many migrants will come to Germany in 2025?
4
150Ṁ3002026
11%
Less than 249 999
20%
250 000 - 499 999
25%
500 000 - 999 999
25%
1 000 000 - 1 499 999
13%
1 500 000 - 2 000 000
6%
More than 2 million
Will resolve to "total arrivals - German arrivals" from this table: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Wanderungen/Tabellen/wanderungen-zwischen-deutschland-und-dem-ausland-jahr-02.html
2022: 2 665 772 - 184 753 = 2 481 019
2023: 1 932 509 - 191 356 = 1 741 153
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Will the "migration crackdown" of Merz actually happen? To be honest, 250k is still not that few people.
People are also trading
Related questions
What will Germany's defense budget be for 2025? (excluding Zeitenwende!)
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?
54% chance
Will more people have emigrated from India than any other country in 2025?
86% chance
What will net migration to the UK be in 2025?
480k
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
10% chance
Will Germany‘s economy (real GDP) grow in 2025?
69% chance
Will Germany’s population have peaked by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Which country will have the largest exodus of people (increase in emigrant population) between 2020 and 2025?
Will total applications for asylum in the UK be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
56% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
9% chance