Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
16
Ṁ100Ṁ1.7kDec 31
17%
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Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on liveuamap as the source for determining Russian control of Donbass territory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Previous estimates by source
Poulet volant
85.51% - 31 May 2025
86.36% - 30 June 2025
87.14% - 31 July 2025
87.83% - 31 August 2025
87.97% - 30 September 2025
88.10% - 31 October 2025
88.40% - 30 November 2025
Creamy caprice
86.63% - 30 June 2025
87.07% - 27 July 2025
87.78% - 26 August 2025
88.44% - 30 September 2025
89.03% - 27 October 2025
89.35% - 28 November 2025
89.68% - 26 December 2025
Suriyakmaps
86.41% - 8 June 2025
88.56% - 18 September 2025
90.17% - 25 December 2025
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