How many of the 50 largest cities in Donbass will Ukraine control at the end of 2026?
0
1502026
7.2 cities
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
0
20%
1 - 2
20%
3 - 4
20%
5 - 6
20%
7 - 50
Background
At the end of 2025, Ukraine controls 6 of the 50 largest cities in Donbass:
Resolution criteria
The posts linked below contain a list of the 50 largest cities in Donbass based on 2022 population estimates, including the coordinates of three different locations in each city:
For the purpose of this market, a city is controlled by Ukraine if Ukraine has de facto control of all three of the specified locations according to Suriyakmaps (interactive map).
This market will resolve to the number of cities controlled by Ukraine at the close date.
Close date
This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2026 and will not resolve sooner.
Clarifications
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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