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MANIFOLD
Will Russia control Druzhkivka by the end of September 2027?
0
Ṁ1k
2027
50%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls the entirety of Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast.

This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.

For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:

Close date

This market is set to close at 22:00 UTC on 30 September 2027.

Clarifications

Druzhkivka is also known as Druzhkovka.

If a resolution source fails to update for 30 consecutive days, it may be removed as a resolution source. A majority of the remaining sources will then be required for a YES resolution.

This market will use the city boundaries displayed on the Google Maps app. Note that Google may adjust city boundaries over time.

Market context
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