If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people?
6
353Ṁ153
2500
22%
synthetic bioweapons
8%
nanotech/diamondoid bacteria
18%
nuclear weapons
9%
bullets, shaped charges, blades, and other conventional munitions and edged weapons
6%
nerve agents
3%
directed energy weapons
33%
Other

Resolves PROB based on the fraction of the final 100k people alive that are killed through each method.

AGI
apocalypse
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excess heat (from industrial processes)

cognitohazards

I doubt non-nanobot bioweapons will be able to get to the remote isolated tribes

/option "However they choose"

I doubt there would be infrastructure running to resolve this market.

@ProjectVictory ASI might be pedantic enough to resolve.

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4% chance
Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
14% chance
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24% chance
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