If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
11
Ṁ6.3kṀ1.6k2040
11%
Engineered pandemic
9%
Persuasion / memetic warfare / neurotech
9%
Other biotech/bioweapon
8%
Drones or other macro robots
8%
Gradual resource monopolization / slow squeeze
8%
8%
Environment becomes uninhabitable
8%
Chemical weapons
8%
Ecosystem collapse via synthetic organisms
7%
Nanotech
6%
Novel physics / unknown unknowns
5%
Nuclear war
5%
Infrastructure/cyber collapse
If AI starts to kill everyone with some method and I am still alive and not super shocked, I will resolve the market accordingly.
It is enough that AI kills the majority of people by the given method A, whereas the minority is killed by some other method, for the market to be resolved in favour of method A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same day?
8% chance
If at least one AI system causes more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, who would be behind it?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
5% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?
40% chance
If an AI wipes out humanity on Earth, what will be true of this AI?
If AI causes human extinction before 2100, how will it happen
Will humanity wipe out AI?
10% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
9% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?