Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? | Manifold

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

4

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2030

71%

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Resolve to YES if by Jan. 1, 2030, any journal with the Science or Nature family of journals announces or implements a policy in which LLMs (or another type of AI model) are used to provide peer-review feedback to authors. The LLM must provide feedback to >50% of reviewed papers (though human peer-review could still happen alongside the LLM).

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Will I write an academic paper using an LLM by 2030?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?

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Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

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