By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs? | Manifold

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

50

1kṀ4292

2026

11%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By 2025 end , will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Quality.

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

Related questions

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy