Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
54
1.7kṀ54k
2029
33%
Keir Starmer
20%
Robert Jenrick
15%
Nigel Farage
12%
Other
10%
Kemi Badenoch
5%
Boris Johnson
1.1%
Ed Davey

You can add new answers!

This market will close when the election is called, as to prevent those watching live election results from abandoning their positions right before a Prime Minister is selected.

Note: if Labour replaces Keir Starmer without calling a general election, this question will not resolve. To resolve, a general election must be held, and a prime minister subsequently appointed.

If the UK government ceases to exist or function, or if democratic general elections cease as a practice, etc., this question will be cancelled.

Elections
UK
UK politics
UK Conservative Party
UK General Election 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought Ṁ150 YES

Just wanted idris Elba at the top

@LukeShadwell based

@Noit got to respect the Lib Dem SURGE potential.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@Noit Winning Here

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 18% order

boughtṀ7 YES

@JoshuaWilkes he tweets really well

Looks like the Conservative candidate will be either Jenrick or Badenoch. With 33 MPs backing Jenrick and 28 backing Badenoch and 21 to both the other candidates out of 121. The MPs will take the candidates down to 2 soon with a membership vote deciding the final candidate. Membership poll below:

bought Ṁ25 YES

Membership vote for the tories candidate will officially be between Badenoch and Jenrick.

@Greyhawk Why so confident on Jezza?

Imagine a 2030 where the UK is ruled by Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Jeremy Clarkson, and Piers Morgan, meanwhile America is ruled by Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, RFK Jr, Tucker Carlson, Ben Shapiro, and Dennis Prager

@TheAllMemeingEye Russian soldiers recreate the famous picture from WW2, of hoisting their flag on the German Parliament.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules