Resolves at the government formed after the next UK general election. Resolves either "X majority", "X minority", or "X + Y (+ Z)* coalition".
Update 2025-09-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Minority government: Means the governing party would need votes from another party to survive a no confidence motion. Calculate this using only voting MPs, i.e., subtract Sinn Fein MPs and the Speaker (who abstain).
Coalition naming: The order of parties (e.g., "X + Y" vs "Y + X") is the same and does not imply seniority.
1,000People are also trading
@MarkNicoll @Tetraspace can we get a clarification/ruling here? My understanding of the description is that only answers of the form described are allowed, and that "catch all" answers like this can't resolve YES. (Because of the type of market, this answer would prevent us from adding subcases (like "Labour+Lib Dem+SNP coalition" etc) otherwise.)
Is that the right interpretation, @Tetraspace ?
@Fion while I'm here, what's the definition of "majority" Vs "minority"? Are we subtracting the speaker and any non-sitting Sinn Fein MPs?
@Fion I want "minority government" to mean they'd need votes from some other party to get past a no confidence motion, which I think subtracts Sinn Fein and the Speaker because they will always abstain