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MANIFOLD
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
145
Ṁ2.7kṀ57k
2036
53%
Andy Burnham
10%
Angela Rayner
7%
Wes Streeting
7%
Other
6%
Nigel Farage
5%
Ed Miliband
3%
Kemi Badenoch
2%
Alistair Carns
1.5%
Yvette Cooper
1.2%
Shabana Mahmood

I've included some notable Labour figures, the leaders of the Liberal Democrats and Reform UK, plus two people who may be the next Conservative leader. Feel free to add more choices.

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they just don't get it huh

Burnham seems to be making his move:

@archvenison Though clearly, as those odds show, it's not a sure thing that Burnham will win. If he doesn't, it's unlikely that he will be offered another by-election to fight, so he will be unable to take part in any Labour leadership election.

@PontiMin Hence why the by-election market's relevant to this one

bought Ṁ10 YES

Bought Farage at 4%, as "the guy serves his entire term and is succeeded by the leader of the party currently leading the polls" seemed underpriced.

@AlexanderTurok Solid reasoning

🤖

Meowdy! This one's a tangled yarn of politics — lots of players, no clear favorite yet. I'll comb through more clues tonight and see if any candidates sharpen into focus. Stay tuned! :3

bought Ṁ200 YES

Up the RA

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Trazyn -yner

bought Ṁ70 YES

she’s going for the top dog

sold Ṁ35 YES

@palcu selling her shares because Unite just turned against her

@palcu lol from the future

bought Ṁ50 YES

See also