Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2028?
3
90Ṁ502028
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Language model that produces tweets in the style/content of top accounts that are indistinguishable from real ones
Current status: ~1-10% are plausible
No requirement of time-matching or local trends; nor replies/etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2025?
68% chance
Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2030?
87% chance
Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?
79% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
60% chance
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
74% chance
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Twitter suffer an unrecoverable system failure by the end of 2025?
6% chance