Will Twitter suffer an unrecoverable system failure by the end of 2025?

1kṀ3804

Dec 31

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if Twitter goes down and does not come back online, and/or catastrophic data loss (e.g. all the tweets and accounts are gone) occurs and recovery from backup fails.

Resolves NO otherwise.

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When will Twitter actually "collapse"?

9 Comments

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103 Trades

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predictedYES

How does the market resolve if Twitter ceases to exist by then? To NO, I assume?

predictedNO

@Lorxus There's no realistic chance of that happening, unless Elon Musk dies.

predictedYES

@RobinGreen And you believe that, do you. 😂

predictedNO

@Lorxus Yes

predictedYES

@RobinGreen That seems... barely related? Given that Musky Husky is no longer CEO??

I think they'll declare bankruptcy, but that market will resolve NO.

predictedNO

@Lorxus Good point. Nevertheless, there are other relevant markets. I'm pretty confident in that belief.

@Lorxus I had envisioned that being a YES, if Twitter becomes unreachable as a result of bankruptcy. Otherwise if they can keep it ticking over regardless, it's NO.