
Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)
38
closes 2029
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ23 +135.8%
New probability
43% +0.8%
In total output, real-world use, plus prestige (open labs attracting the best talent)
PROB resolution--2022 would have resolved ~70-80% YES
Based on informed (and uninformed) comments, search trends, random Twitter hive minding, etc.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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